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ABSTRACT
This project work reveled the rate at which people are infected with malaria the least square method used for analysis showed that people are infected with malaria irrespective of the time and seasons of a successive year,
There is no noticeable direction as regarding the number of patient treated for malaria over time. Also, the analysis from autoregressive moving average report shows that both autoregressive and moving average of order four were both appropriate while the report from autocorrelation and autocovanance does not indicate any noticeable trend in the number of patients treated for malaria.
CHAPTER ONE
1.0 INTRODUCTION
The term time series refers to one the quantitative method used in determination pattern in data collected over time e.g weekly monthly, quarterly or yearly.
Time service is the statistic tool or methodology that can be used to transform past experience to predict future event which would enable the researcher or organization to plan.
It gives information about how the particular case of study has been behaving in the past and present and such information can be used in prediction The number of people treated for malaria fever at the otan Ayegbaju management hospital. Comprehensive health centre otan. We are going to seen how change occur over mouths in each year in the occurrence of the disease in the hospital. As a result of this, we will be able to know certain factor responsible for increase or decrease in the rate of infection of the disease over the period of time.
Record of time series data can be made in the following ways:-
A. THROUGH CUMULATIVE FIGURES:- these represent value of input through the quarter. We must always bear in mind the different when handling time series data and as certain which particular type we are dealing with in every case.
B. CUMULATIVE TYPE ADDED COMPILATION:- some cases when an added compilation introduced for the cumulative type of data the figure which are related to month of the year and not the total for month. further more the characteristic movement, seasonal variation Irregular variation in the analysis of time series, we have two types of model are generally accepted as good approximation of the true data association among the component of observed data, they are the most commonly assumed relationship between time series and its components. These are additive model and Multiplicative mode. All time series contain at least on of four of its components. These components are:-
1. Long term trend
2. Seasonal variation
3. Cyclical variation
4. Irregular or random variation value
LONG TERM TREND COMPONENT
This can be referred to the general path in which time series graph appear to follow over a long period of time, in other word, it is the long-term increase or decrease in a variable being measured over time for example a company planning her expense on goods to produce in the next three or four years has consider demand at a particular time.
Y Downward trend Y upward trend
t t
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF TREND
SEASONAL COMPONENT
These are sort term variation from the trend that occur regular with the passage of time series of many products like ice cream, soft drink, ran during ileya turkey during chrismas and new and year period are subjects of such variation. There changes are visually identical or almost identical in natures that follow during
Y
t
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF SEASONAL CHANGE
CYCLICAL COMPONENT
Data collected how every, they can contain cyclical effect in a time series are represented by wave-like fluctuation around a long term trends. The change occurs in economics activities due to some facture like booms. Recess. Cyclical fluctuation repest them selve in a general pattern in the long-term. But occur with different frequencies and intensities.
Thus, they can be isolated but not totally predicted
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SIMILAR PUBLIC HEALTH FINAL YEAR PROJECT RESEARCH TOPICS
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1. THE PATTERN AND DETERMINANTS OF PRE-HYPERTENSION AMONG ADULTS ATTENDING GENERAL OUTPATIENT CLINIC OF SPECIALIST HOSPITAL BAUCHI
» SUMMARY Like hypertension, adults with prehypertension are known to have higher prevalence of other cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors, with ab...Continue Reading »Item Type & Format: Project Material - Ms Word | 81 pages | Instant Download | Chapter 1-5 | PUBLIC HEALTH DEPARTMENT
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2. FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH ASYMPTOMATIC MALARIA PARASITAEMIA AMONG WOMEN ATTENDING ANTENATAL CLINIC IN GENERAL HOSPITAL NASSARAWA-EGGON, NASARAWA STATE, ...
» ABSTRACT Asymptomatic malaria parasitaemia in pregnancy is a major public health challenge responsible for significant morbidity and mortality in ende...Continue Reading »Item Type & Format: Project Material - Ms Word | 62 pages | Instant Download | Chapter 1-5 | PUBLIC HEALTH DEPARTMENT
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3. CONSEQUENCESOFDISCLOSUREAMONGADULT PEOPLELIVING WITHHIVREGISTEREDATGENERALHOSPITALIKOTEKPENE, AKWAIBOMSTATE,NIGERIA
» SUMMARY HIV/AIDS is a disease of public health concern with 36.7 million people living with the disease worldwide. Sub Saharan Africa accounts for 70%...Continue Reading »Item Type & Format: Project Material - Ms Word | 141 pages | Instant Download | Chapter 1-5 | PUBLIC HEALTH DEPARTMENT
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4. DETERMINANTS & DETERRENTS OF COMMUNITY PARTICIPATION OF SOLID WASTE MANAGEMENT AMONG TRADERS OF U/RIMI MARKET, KADUNA
» CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background to the Study Solid waste disposal and management is both an urban and rural problem. Every person is a potenti...Continue Reading »Item Type & Format: Project Material - Ms Word | 65 pages | Instant Download | Chapter 1-5 | PUBLIC HEALTH DEPARTMENT
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5. KNOWLEDGE AND PREVALENCE OF HUMAN AFRICAN TRYPANOSOMIASIS AMONG RESIDENTS OF KACHIA GRAZING RESERVE, KADUNA STATE 2012.
» SUMMARY Human African Trypanosomiasis (HAT) is a vector borne parasitic disease transmitted to humans by bites of infected tse tse flies. It is one of...Continue Reading »Item Type & Format: Project Material - Ms Word | 89 pages | Instant Download | Chapter 1-5 | PUBLIC HEALTH DEPARTMENT
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6. JOB SATISFACTION AMONG DOCTORS AND NURSES (A case study of Federal Medical Centre Yola)
» SUMMARY Job satisfaction refers to how well a job provides fulfilment of a need or want or how well it serves as a source or means of enjoyment. The p...Continue Reading »Item Type & Format: Project Material - Ms Word | 78 pages | Instant Download | Chapter 1-5 | PUBLIC HEALTH DEPARTMENT
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7. PREVALENCE OF MICROALBUMINURIA AMONG DIABETIC PATIENTS IN ABUTH, SHIKA ZARIA
» ABSTRACT Diabetic nephropathy accounts for a significant reduction in life expectancy of diabetic patients. Diabetic patients with microalbuminuria ha...Continue Reading »Item Type & Format: Project Material - Ms Word | 116 pages | Instant Download | Chapter 1-5 | PUBLIC HEALTH DEPARTMENT
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8. DETERMINANTS OF RETREATMENT WITH FIRST LINE ANTI- TUBERCULOSIS DRUGS IN SMEAR POSITIVE PATIENTS IN ADAMAWA STATE, OCTOBER 2012 – JUNE 2013
» SUMMARY Retreatment is indicated in tuberculosis (TB) patients if they fail or default from initial treatment or relapse after initial treatment succe...Continue Reading »Item Type & Format: Project Material - Ms Word | 89 pages | Instant Download | Chapter 1-5 | PUBLIC HEALTH DEPARTMENT
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9. NEEDLE PRICK AND SHARPS INJURIES AMONG PRIMARY HEALTH CARE WORKRES IN TANGAZA LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA, SOKOTO STATE
» SUMMARY Needle prick and sharps injuries (NP/SI) are common among health care workers (HCWs). The NP is the commonest route by which health care provi...Continue Reading »Item Type & Format: Project Material - Ms Word | 96 pages | Instant Download | Chapter 1-5 | PUBLIC HEALTH DEPARTMENT
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10. INVESTIGATION OF WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION MODEL IN ASSESSING THE BEST COMPARATIVE MODEL THAT FITS BREAST CANCER DATA IN CLINICAL RESEARCH
» CHAPTER ONE 1.1 INTRODUCTION Cancer is a potentially fatal disease caused mainly by environmental factors that mutate genes encoding critical cell reg...Continue Reading »Item Type & Format: Project Material - Ms Word | 57 pages | Instant Download | Chapter 1-5 | PUBLIC HEALTH DEPARTMENT